Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs

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3 min readPolymarket
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Volume: $593K
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Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs

市場機率

Both Teams Beat Roshan90.5%
Any Player Ultra Kill9.5%
Any Player Rampage9.5%

Volume: $592,616

Total Vol: $592,61624h: $592,616Liquidity: $227

機率反映集體市場情緒,不構成投資建議。

市場概覽

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Final match between Yellow Submarine and Natus Vincere in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. — Odds: Both Teams Beat Roshan 90.5% · Any Player Ultra Kill 9.5% · Any Player Rampage 9.5%

數據來源: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 5일 오전 02:10

D-Day

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Both Teams Beat Roshan" scenario leads at 91%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case91%

Both Teams Beat Roshan (91%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (91%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 71%

Base Case10%

Any Player Ultra Kill (10%)

Alternative scenario with 10% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case10%

Low probability scenario (10%)

Currently rated at 10%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Awaiting resolution or already resolved

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
原始來源

Polymarket

此分析基於Polymarket預測市場數據。

View on Polymarket
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