LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
1d 19h left
Volume: $187K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

市場機率

Gen.G80.5%
Under74.0%
Invictus Gaming64.5%
Over64.5%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%
Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%

Volume: $187,195

Total Vol: $187,19524h: $164,276Liquidity: $305,573

機率反映集體市場情緒,不構成投資建議。

市場概覽

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between Invictus Gaming and Gen.G in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. — Odds: Gen.G 80.5% · Under 74.0% · Invictus Gaming 64.5% · Over 64.5% · Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50.0%

數據來源: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 8일 오후 01:00

D-2

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Gen.G" scenario leads at 81%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case81%

Gen.G (81%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (81%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 61%

Base Case74%

Under (74%)

Alternative scenario with 74% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case65%

Invictus Gaming (65%)

Currently rated at 65%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 2 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 2 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
原始來源

Polymarket

此分析基於Polymarket預測市場數據。

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