Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
市場機率
Volume: $211,114
機率反映集體市場情緒，不構成投資建議。
市場概覽
This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Tommy Paul in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: Over 76.0% · Over 2.5 70.0% · Ben Shelton 64.5% · Completed Match 55.0% · Tommy Paul 53.5%
數據來源: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 13일 오후 10:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 76%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Over (76%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (76%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 56%
Over 2.5 (70%)
Alternative scenario with 70% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Ben Shelton (65%)
Currently rated at 65%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Matteo Martineau in the Taranto, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. — Odds: Matteo Martineau 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Maxim Mrva 0.1%