Dota 2: PlayTime vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

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3 min readPolymarket
3h 17m left
Volume: $547K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Dota 2: PlayTime vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

市場機率

LEGION100.0%
Under100.0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100.0%
Over50.5%
Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%
Any Player Rampage50.0%
Ends in Daytime50.0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50.0%

Volume: $546,844

Total Vol: $546,84424h: $570,441Liquidity: $184,475

機率反映集體市場情緒,不構成投資建議。

市場概覽

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PlayTime and LEGION in the 1win Essence Play-in Group B, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. — Odds: LEGION 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Both Teams Beat Roshan 100.0% · Over 50.5% · Any Player Ultra Kill 50.0%

數據來源: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 9일 오전 07:00

D-Day

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "LEGION" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

LEGION (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Under (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

Both Teams Beat Roshan (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution expected tomorrow

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
原始來源

Polymarket

此分析基於Polymarket預測市場數據。

View on Polymarket
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