BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud

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3 min letturaPolymarket
6d 10h left
Volume: $1.3M
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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud

Market Probabilities

Alexander Shevchenko100.0%
Casper Ruud0.1%

Volume: $1,281,586

Total Vol: $1,281,58624h: $1,288,752Liquidity: $401,785

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Shevchenko and Casper Ruud in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. — Odds: Alexander Shevchenko 100.0% · Casper Ruud 0.1%

Based on Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 18일 오후 09:00

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Alexander Shevchenko" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Alexander Shevchenko (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case0%

Casper Ruud (0%)

Alternative scenario with 0% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case0%

Low probability scenario (0%)

Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Gill and Massimo Giunta in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. — Odds: Massimo Giunta 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Felix Gill 0.1% · Over 2.5 0.1%

·Polymarket