Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov
市場確率
Volume: $349,984
確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。
マーケット概要
This market refers to the tennis match between Dalibor Svrcina and Jurij Rodionov in the Bratislava 2, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. — Odds: Jurij Rodionov 100.0% · Completed Match 99.5% · Dalibor Svrcina 0.5%
データ出典: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 14일 오후 11:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Jurij Rodionov" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Jurij Rodionov (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Completed Match (100%)
Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Low probability scenario (1%)
Currently rated at 1%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
This market refers to the tennis match between Mika Brunold and Borna Gojo in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. — Odds: Borna Gojo 100.0% · Mika Brunold 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0%