Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff

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3 min leituraPolymarket
6d 19h left
Volume: $387K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Probabilidades do mercado

Jan-Lennard Struff51.5%
Thiago Agustin Tirante50.0%
Completed Match50.0%

Volume: $386,716

Total Vol: $386,71624h: $431,684Liquidity: $286,666

As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.

Visão geral do mercado

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. — Odds: Jan-Lennard Struff 51.5% · Thiago Agustin Tirante 50.0% · Completed Match 50.0%

Fonte de dados: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 12일 오전 01:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Jan-Lennard Struff" scenario leads at 52%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case52%

Jan-Lennard Struff (52%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (52%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 32%

Base Case50%

Thiago Agustin Tirante (50%)

Alternative scenario with 50% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case50%

Completed Match (50%)

Currently rated at 50%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fonte original

Polymarket

Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
Fonte: Polymarket
Atualizado: 4 de nov.
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Próximo
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
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Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Taylor Fritz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. — Odds: Taylor Fritz 100.0% · Alex Molcan 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0%

·Polymarket