Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
Probabilidades do mercado
Volume: $566,407
As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.
Visão geral do mercado
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. — Odds: Carlos Alcaraz 100.0% · Alex Michelsen 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0%
Fonte de dados: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 12일 오전 03:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Carlos Alcaraz" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Carlos Alcaraz (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Alex Michelsen (100%)
Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Under 2.5 (100%)
Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.
View on Polymarket
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