Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente

FutureRadar Desk
3 นาทีอ่านPolymarket
6d 19h left
ปริมาณ: $174K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
แชร์:
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente

ความน่าจะเป็นของตลาด

Santiago De La Fuente100.0%
Daniel Rincon0.1%

Volume: $173,658

Total Vol: $173,65824h: $173,658Liquidity: $40,716

ความน่าจะเป็นสะท้อนความรู้สึกโดยรวมของตลาด ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำการลงทุน

ภาพรวมตลาด

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rincon and Santiago De La Fuente in the Lima, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Santiago De La Fuente 100.0% · Daniel Rincon 0.1%

แหล่งข้อมูล: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 18일 오전 12:00

D-7

Time to market close

Loading...

What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Santiago De La Fuente" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Santiago De La Fuente (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case0%

Daniel Rincon (0%)

Alternative scenario with 0% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case0%

Low probability scenario (0%)

Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
แหล่งที่มาต้นฉบับ

Polymarket

การวิเคราะห์นี้อ้างอิงจากข้อมูลตลาดทำนาย Polymarket

View on Polymarket
แหล่งที่มา: Polymarket
อัปเดต: 10 พ.ย.
แชร์:
ถัดไป
Orleans: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier
Tennis·D-6

Orleans: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Daniel Altmaier in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: Daniel Altmaier 100.0% · Adrien Gobat 0.1%

·Polymarket