Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
3d 7h left
Volume: $303K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong

市場機率

Terence Atmane100.0%
Coleman Wong100.0%
Completed Match100.0%

Volume: $302,967

Total Vol: $302,96724h: $303,799Liquidity: $623,012

機率反映集體市場情緒,不構成投資建議。

市場概覽

This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Coleman Wong in the Seoul, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. — Odds: Terence Atmane 100.0% · Coleman Wong 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0%

數據來源: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 8일 오후 02:00

D-3

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Terence Atmane" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Terence Atmane (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Coleman Wong (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

Completed Match (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 4 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 4 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
原始來源

Polymarket

此分析基於Polymarket預測市場數據。

View on Polymarket
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