Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
市場機率
Volume: $663,656
機率反映集體市場情緒，不構成投資建議。
市場概覽
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Rinky Hijikata in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. — Odds: Over 99.5% · Luca Van Assche 74.5% · Rinky Hijikata 58.5% · Over 2.5 56.0% · Completed Match 55.0%
數據來源: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 13일 오후 11:30
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Over (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Luca Van Assche (75%)
Alternative scenario with 75% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Rinky Hijikata (59%)
Currently rated at 59%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Tommy Paul in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: Ben Shelton 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Tommy Paul 0.1%