Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
市場機率
Volume: $481,407
機率反映集體市場情緒，不構成投資建議。
市場概覽
This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. — Odds: Carlos Alcaraz 100.0% · Casper Ruud 83.5% · Under 2.5 79.5% · Completed Match 55.0% · Over 52.5%
數據來源: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 15일 오전 01:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Carlos Alcaraz" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Carlos Alcaraz (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Casper Ruud (84%)
Alternative scenario with 84% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Under 2.5 (80%)
Currently rated at 80%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov
This market refers to the tennis match between Dalibor Svrcina and Jurij Rodionov in the Bratislava 2, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. — Odds: Jurij Rodionov 100.0% · Completed Match 99.5% · Dalibor Svrcina 0.5%