Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
6d 20h left
Volume: $360K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
共有:
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

市場確率

Genaro Alberto Olivieri100.0%
Over99.5%
Federico Coria50.0%
Under0.5%
Completed Match0.1%

Volume: $359,719

Total Vol: $359,71924h: $360,305Liquidity: $101,876

確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。

マーケット概要

This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Coria and Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the Villa Maria, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. — Odds: Genaro Alberto Olivieri 100.0% · Over 99.5% · Federico Coria 50.0% · Under 0.5% · Completed Match 0.1%

データ出典: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 15일 오전 12:30

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Genaro Alberto Olivieri" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Genaro Alberto Olivieri (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Over (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case50%

Federico Coria (50%)

Currently rated at 50%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
元のソース

Polymarket

この分析はPolymarket予測市場データに基づいています。

View on Polymarket
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This market refers to the tennis match between Dalibor Svrcina and Jurij Rodionov in the Bratislava 2, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. — Odds: Jurij Rodionov 100.0% · Completed Match 99.5% · Dalibor Svrcina 0.5%

·Polymarket