FutureRadar
Esports·Dota 2·Games·Sports

Dota 2: Froglings vs angry birds (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A

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3 min readPolymarket
1h 47m left
Volume: $324K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Dota 2: Froglings vs angry birds (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A

市場確率

Froglings100.0%
Over100.0%
angry birds100.0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks57.6%
Under53.0%
Ends in Daytime53.0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan47.5%
Any Player Ultra Kill47.5%

Volume: $324,387

Total Vol: $324,38724h: $326,230Liquidity: $117,193

確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。

マーケット概要

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Froglings and angry birds in the 1win Essence Play-in Group A, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. — Odds: Froglings 100.0% · Over 100.0% · angry birds 100.0% · Both Teams Destroy Barracks 57.6% · Under 53.0%

データ出典: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 8일 오전 08:30

D-Day

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Froglings" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Froglings (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Over (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

angry birds (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution expected tomorrow

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
元のソース

Polymarket

この分析はPolymarket予測市場データに基づいています。

View on Polymarket
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This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Costa do Sauipe, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Thiago Seyboth Wild 99.5% · Completed Match 55.0% · Over 50.0% · Under 50.0% · Facundo Acosta 50.0%

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